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Q2 Earnings Spotlight

A busy week of Q2 earnings highlighted by Hinge’s acquisition of Cylinder

Hinge’s continued solid performance; acquires Cylinder Health for $105 million to enter GI market

  • Hinge continued its tear as a public company in its Q2 earnings this week, evidenced by its ~112% stock increase since its IPO last year. It currently sports a ~$6.5 billion market cap, putting all the consternation around its IPO valuation in the rearview mirror. It has clearly nailed the employer go-to-market motion and is reaping the benefits of that at the moment. The major focus of this call was Hinge’s acquisition of Cylinder, a virtual wraparound model for GI care formerly known as Vivante Health. Hinge acquired Cylinder for $105 million in cash, representing a ~4.7x revenue multiple on Cylinder's expected $20 million to $25 million in revenue this year. Listening to the earnings call, it’s not hard to see the appeal Hinge sees in selling Cylinder into employers. Hinge appears to have a very good handle on how it can grow revenue both via cross-selling opportunities and by applying its know-how to increase employee yield for Cylinder. Couple that with the presumed revenue multiple expansion Hinge will see on Cylinder revenue — as Hinge currently trades at 2026 revenue multiple ~6.9x — and it seems like there’s a pretty clear near-term path to success here.

  • All of that said, I made the case on Slack this week why I don’t love this decision strategically for Hinge, as it seems to push Hinge down a path of trying to build a digital health platform for employers and away from being a best-in-class MSK provider, a route I’d much prefer it take strategically. PHTI’s report on the GI market earlier this year highlights this, pointing to a relative lack of clinical data supporting wrap-around solutions like Cylinder. If Hinge is selling a best-in-class clinical model, it doesn’t feel like Cylinder would have been the decision here. Instead, this move feels predicated on a short term employer go-to-market opportunity. This is reminiscent of the challenges we’ve seen employer-focused digital health models, like Livongo, run into previously — i.e. winning on go-to-market strategy works, until it doesn’t. And once it doesn’t, it’s unclear what durable asset remains, if any.

  • At Hinge’s investor day earlier this summer, Hinge articulated a growth strategy centered on expanding its virtual and in-person capabilities as an MSK platform into adjacent markets such as Medicare and Medicaid. Here’s the slide articulating that play:


    I find it odd to see this move so quickly after that investor day, as it seems to deprioritize that strategy in favor of expanding into other verticals with employers. Personally, I would have much rather seen Hinge continue to focus on building out best-in-class MSK capabilities and perhaps expand into GI or other conditions by acquiring other best-in-class clinical models, not wraparound solutions. While that seems like a higher-degree-of-difficulty move in the short term, it also seems like one that would have more durable strategic value in the long term, positioning Hinge as an aggregator of a next-gen national virtual-first health system.

  • Certainly, Hinge leadership has demonstrated an exceptional ability to manage the public markets over the past year, and I’ll be watching how this plan comes together. But if I were in those corp dev meetings, I’d have been pushing hard to go in another direction for M&A, i.e., going deeper in the MSK market.

Here’s a rundown of some of the other more interesting earnings calls from the week:

  • CVS shares fell after earnings, even after beating Q2 expectations, as it signaled cautionary headwinds for 2027 in the 340B business and membership declines in Caremark. CVS announced an interesting partnership with Eli Lilly, offering cash-pay GLP-1s at MinuteClinics.

  • Doximity’s AI strategy appears to be gaining momentum, as it compared itself multiple times to Anthropic overtaking OpenAI, leaving it to the imagination which company might be playing the role of OpenAI in this specific race. AI Search is still in its early days, but Doximity is clearly excited by the interest, both from providers using the tool and from pharma executives looking to spend ad dollars.

  • Oscar Health raised its FY 2026 outlook on solid performance in the core ACA business. The ICHRA narrative still feels very theoretical — Oscar does a nice job detailing the conceptual appeal, but it also still feels very early as a market. It will be interesting to hear how Oscar articulates its growth strategy at its upcoming Investor Day in September.

  • Clover follows a similar narrative to Oscar; its core insurance business is performing well, as evidenced by increased 2026 guidance across all metrics. Clover discussed the Stars tailwind and cohort maturation as two key points that will drive profitability ahead. It expects to grow in 2027 while also expanding profitability. At the same time, it provided no commercial update on Counterpart, aside from noting that it is making investments in go-to-market capabilities, which seems telling.

  • agilon posted a solid quarter, although its stock went on a roller coaster this week before ending up roughly flat for the week. After massive losses in 2025, it has swung back to a profit this year, posting $14 million in net income in Q2, compared with a $104 million net loss last year. agilon raised guidance for the year, as it noted it is both seeing a moderation in medical cost trend and also is getting back to operational execution basics.

  • Omada beat estimates and raised its full-year outlook on strong momentum, while founding CEO Sean Duffy announced a move to the executive chairman role.

  • Privia delivered another very Privia-like quarter, with solid execution in its core business. Value-based care continues to grow slowly in emphasis here. Its stock dropped ~20% after earnings, seemingly partially due to CMS shared savings payment timing, before mostly recovering to end the week.

  • Health Catalyst stock again plummeted 25% on Friday as it adjusted guidance downwards following the sale of VitalWare, its RCM platform, which nearly halved HCAT’s EBITDA guidance for the year.

A Number to Ponder

Bank of America’s striking spending on GLP-1s

$250 million
Bank of America’s annual spending on GLP-1s for employees

Bank of America’s CEO, Brian Moynihan, told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin in an interview that it is spending roughly $250 million on GLP-1s and $2 billion annually on healthcare costs for its 200,000+ employees. For reference, Bank of America generated $113 billion in revenue and $30.5 billion in net income in 2025. Equally as striking as the headline is how well-versed Moynihan appears to be in Bank of America’s approach to GLP-1s, which sounds like it has a program in place to ensure appropriateness. Moynihan seems quite pleased with the potential health benefits.

This news spurred an interesting convo in Slack. I made the case that if I were in Moynihan’s shoes, I’d view this as the best 0.2% of revenue I could spend. In an environment where other large employers are viewing GLP-1s as a binary decision, and some are cutting back on benefits to preserve margins, if I’m Moynihan, I’m thinking about positioning my business for a future where front-of-house humans are more important than ever. Even if I don’t see direct financial savings in my overall healthcare costs from offering GLP-1s, I’d be happy to trade 0.2% of revenue for the indirect benefits of standing out as an employer of choice in a market where affordability is top of mind for everyone.

Chart of the Week

Elevance data on high-cost claims

Elevance provided some great insight into the state of high-cost claims in a report this week. A few months ago, I polled this NL audience about what the highest cost claim might be in a given year. While this chart gives me nightmares visually, it seems to suggest that Elevance had a $15.4 million claimant in 2025 in its large-group/commercially insured book of business. The paper does a nice job describing the growth in high-cost claimants (>$100k in costs), which represent only 0.78% of the members but 34% of spending.

Company Spotlight

VBC enabler Vytalize highlights growing profitability

Vytalize’s co-founders, Faris Ghawi and Dr. Amer Alnajar, stopped by HTN last week to share a presentation on the current state of the business and how its VBC model is driving positive clinical and cost outcomes across traditional Medicare, Commercial, Medicaid, and Medicare Advantage populations. The headline for me is the scale Vytalize has reached, as well as the growing profitability of the business — the slide above from the presentation shows they’re currently at 400,000 patients in 30 states and generated $50 million in Adj. EBITDA in 2025, growing to $70 million in 2026. For comparison, agilon is guiding to a midpoint of $85 million of Adj EBITDA and ~540,000 patients in 2026.

We had the chance to discuss how the Vytalize model is driving cost savings, as well as the recent headlines regarding the 2024 ACO REACH results. Vytalize shared that in 2024, it operated six ACOs, one of which was heavily focused on high-needs patients, skewing that ACO's benchmark and driving substantial losses that year. Given the more recent EBITDA numbers Vytalize posted over the last two years, it seems like Vytalize has moved past that quickly. It’s another good signal of the momentum in the VBC market as we enter the back half of 2026, after companies have navigated a challenging market environment over the last several years.

Other Upcoming HTN Company Presentations:

Other Top Headlines

  • Per Axios, Datavant is reportedly recapitalizing $2.5 billion in debt and will merge with SmarterDx upon completion of the recapitalization. SmarterDx is one of three entities that New Mountain Capital brought together under the Smarter Technologies umbrella in May 2025, along with Thoughtful.ai and Access Healthcare. It’s worth noting that Datavant and Smarter Technologies were two of the core assets in the unsuccessful Thoreau transaction earlier this year, and that we’ve also seen in the news recently that New Mountain is looking to sell Machinify, which was a third key asset in Thoreau.

  • The Financial Times reported last Sunday that Bristol Myers Squibb and AstraZeneca are discussing a potential $400 billion merger between the two companies, which largely perplexed industry analysts and sent AstraZeneca shares down 8% early in the week. On Wednesday, Reuters reported that a senior source at AstraZeneca said there is no deal and there are no ongoing discussions.

  • SDOH platform Unite Us acquired Vircho Health, a startup that helps provide oversight and reporting tools to track the performance of SDOH initiatives, a notorious issue in proving out the value of many SDOH efforts.

Senior Director, Risk Stratification at Aledade, a primary care VBC enablement platform.
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Funding Announcements

Nothing particularly notable from a funding perspective to discuss this week.

What I’m Reading

  • Cedar Grove Capital Management, one of the loudest bear investors in Hims over the past few years, wrote a report this week sharing its thesis for why it now holds a long position in Hims. The report makes the case that the market is underestimating Hims as the cash-pay healthcare delivery system of the future. It’s an interesting thesis centered on serving the healthcare consumer who is frustrated by the many ways the traditional healthcare system is failing them, and the data Hims will have to personalize their experience. The knock on many telehealth players like Hims is that they’re just dispensing medications indiscriminately, but in an environment where care delivery is increasingly becoming about helping people access medications like GLP-1s, coupled with people increasingly paying out of pocket for these expenses, owning the leading consumer brand here seems like a good strategic position. For as long as industry leaders have speculated about the consumerization of healthcare, Hims seems to be executing on that play, regardless of what the industry may think of the approach.

  • While pondering the future state of a more consumer-oriented cash-pay healthcare system, it’s also worth reading Gizmodo’s reporting this week on Hims. It FOIA’d customer complaints that led to the FTC’s recent lawsuit against Hims for deceptive marketing practices, noting the FTC has received 4,800 complaints over the last five years. Perusing the sample of complaints Gizmodo shared, it seems like Hims still has a lot of work to do here.

  • In Minneapolis, Hennepin County Medical Center provides a tough example of the local politics of sustaining a struggling safety-net provider. Earlier this summer, HCMC received a $705 million emergency bailout from the state after burning through its cash reserves to keep its doors open. This week, the Star Tribune highlighted how HCMC’s Board clashed with local elected officials over proposed budget cuts that would have involved layoffs. In late 2023, the Board had prepared a plan to reduce HCMC’s budget by 8%. Apparently, elected officials overruled that cut and imposed a ban on layoffs, causing some Board members to resign. Cash reserves dwindled further, and in 2025, Hennepin County Commissioners voted to dissolve the Board in an attempt to fix the situation. It goes without saying this is a fraught political conversation, but at some point, math is math, and burying your head in the sand in the face of ongoing budget shortfalls doesn’t seem like a winning strategy, even if it helps elected officials in the short term to kick the can down the road. It all feels a bit like we’re pressing on the gas pedal while driving straight over a cliff.

  • Speaking of challenging healthcare decisions for local elected officials, Martin shared a musing on healthcare M&A, highlighting the recently proposed JV in Colorado between AventHealth and Intermountain that is now being reviewed by the Colorado Attorney General. On the one hand, the potential concerns of increasing market concentration are clear if you let the deal go through. On the other hand, if you reject the deal, you risk the JetBlue/Spirit Airlines outcome, where Spirit no longer exists two years later and JetBlue is in a weaker position than it would have otherwise been. Or perhaps, instead of the Spirit outcome, you get an HCMC-like outcome described above, leaving the state stuck making emergency bailout payments in order to keep a key safety net provider afloat. These are tough tradeoffs, but again, at some point, math is math. Personally, I’d agree with Martin that if I’m the Colorado AG, I’m letting the AdventHealth and Intermountain JV proceed.

  • While on the topic of local market consolidation, we headed even further west this week and had the chance to catch up on local market dynamics in Hawai’i with Jason Chang, the CEO of The Queen’s Health System. Earlier this summer, I wrote about the somewhat perplexing update from the local Blues plan, HMSA, which is simultaneously pursuing a vertically integrated merger with Hawai’i Pacific Health centered on VBC principles, while also moving away from VBC payments for primary care in the state. It all provides a fascinating real-time example of another state grappling with the challenging budget realities of healthcare and the coordination challenges across various providers and payers in a local market. If I know one thing, it’s that I am not envious of the decisions that Hawai’i’ s governor must be grappling with about the best path forward for funding healthcare in the state.

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